Political Oddsmaker Says Obama Will Lose in a Landslide

A political oddsmaker says Barack Obama will lose the election this year to Mitt Romney in a landslide.
Agreed.
Wayne Allyn Root at Townhall reported:

As an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of picking political races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call them as I see them. Back in late December I released my New Years Predictions. I predicted back then- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romney trailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to Herman Cain to Newt- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOP nomination by a landslide. I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney would be very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would win by a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.

Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romney victory. 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do most pollsters give Obama the edge?
First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient- common sense. Here is my gut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switch to Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted for an unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scared about the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger.

It is those damn headwinds..

He took the controls of the plane and didn't realize he actually needed to know how to fly it..

He has been pushing forward and pulling back on the stick and the plane has been going up and down, but not changed its course.

We have learned a valuable lesson..

Starting on the job training for a new pilot on a plane in the midst of a nose dive doesn't end well for passengers..

No teleprompter in the cockpit..

That is not good news.

Here is the butterfly effect:

If the polls are consistently pointing to Obama loosing, then the only way to keep him in power (and they want him to stay in power in a bad way) --will be a major world crisis like world war III or a war with Iran.

During times of war, the Incumbent usually always wins. Obama will declare war with Iran after some staged false flag event and...then..

...Complete chaos in the Middle east, and it will be taken over (given to) the Muslim Brotherhood.

America will no longer honor their agreement to buy Oil from the Saudi's and the agreement will be broken about only buying oil with the dollar and the dollar will get dumped as the reserve currency.

Stalks will fall. People who have any measure of wealth will loose it. The dollar will be so inflated people will not have enough to buy the bare essentials. Cities will bankrupt, services will stop.


This is what the Elite want to happen. Then they can step in and offer to save everyone by issuing a new currency. People will have to start from scratch and live under the thumb of the Elite if they accept their terms.

America does not need foreign oil. America has enough oil reserves of their own to last us until 2041 and they already have oil refineries in Colorado, Alaska, and other places. We have so much of our own oil that gas could sell for $1.50 a gallon. But the Elite are greedy and they want to be paid back for the national debt that they themselves put us in. Gas will be $6.00 0 $7.00 dollars a gallon.

They will continue to try suppress any automobile that can run on water, or anything else that is not putting money in their pockets.

raegan had an edge as an old man who seemed to make sense and who used to play a 'cowboy'

Romney has no such edge,,,,


Obama is also good at organizing to REGISTER NEW voters,,so even if none of the pro mccain people switched (a highly improbable assumption)

and if some of the pro Obama did switch (an inevitable assumption)

the numbers who DID not vote before due to not being registered or not caring or not feeling their vote was going to change the circumstance,,or whatever


can make a HUGE difference if they choose to vote this election....

amongst them, women who now feel the government might interfere with reproduction rights

homosexuals who are determined to be able to have the government aknowledge and support their choice of relationships

the elderly who depend on medicare and social security and fear it being 'privatized'

,,,there just MIGHT be some in those groups who voted McCain before but would still rather have OBAMA than someone who poses a threat (in their minds anyhow, since CONGRESS passes bills) to their particular special interest,,,,

Romney has no such edge,,,,


Romney is so totally phony. He is not even a good actor. The Republican convention was more corny than a bad episode of Hee Haw.

If there are enough Americans in this country who fell for that fiasco and fall for that phony candidate then American will deserve what ever it gets under that idiot's presidency.

WE NEED RON PAUL.

But they will never let that happen. They would kill him first.

well folks..

let's see if anyone can get us out of this ditch..

humans continue to adapt and survive, its built in,,,

no one person saves a country or digs it out of a ditch,,

The promble is not coming from our President., the promble is that we have a do noting Republican control congress.

No, the House of Representatives is majority Republicans. The Senate is majority Democrats. Neither party controls Congress. Please read and use spell correct before making comments.

Watch out for Ron Paul!!

He is older and cowboyier than Reagan, weirder than other candidates,
and has sex appeal for the laydeez.

A lot of people are saying a lot of things.

Truth is it's a crap shoot, about 50/50.

http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/politics/us-presidential-election/2012-us-presidential-race-e212304268


Betting Odds 9/2/12

Obama 2/5
Romney 15/8



Oddsmakers currently paying

$0.40 for each $1 bet on Obama
$1.88 for each $1 bet on Romney

so they view Obama as ~4.7 times more likely to win.



of course that is supposed to make it interesting and
even the bookies have to make a living...

I think Obama will win. However, it's neither here nor there who wins between he and Romney. They are both working for the same war mongering financiers who have all the real power. I am considering not voting as a protest against the system.

Yes, they would.

That is not an effective protest.

You would be better off to vote 3rd party or write-in to protest.
Otherwise it is just apathy.

But they don't answer to war mongering financiers. That is just
extremely overlysimplistic conspiro-talk. These guys have to be
elected in a general election and they will answer to the voters - each and every one of us. That is how it works.

I'm sorry you are still blind to the truth.

And throwing the "conspiracy" word out there doesn't bother me. Day after day it's used as an insult around here. So, it doesn't have much affect on me anymore.

So far, every alleged "automobile that can run on water" has been exposed as being a scam.

The most-recent alleged "automobile that can run on water" is an alleged "water kit" that allegedly enables any automobile to run on water. The "water kit" was supposed to be subjected to scientific testing, but when it came time to send it to such testing, the inventor didn't show up with it.

Here is an excerpt from a story published by the Express Tribune:

Just who are they? Please be specific about their identities, and please cite verifiable sources.

Romney will win election, state-by-state study predicts

An analysis from the University of Colorado that has correctly predicted the outcome of presidential elections since 1980 is forecasting Mitt Romney as the winner this year.
Political science professors Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry found that the ailing economy spells trouble for the president's re-election bid. The professors conduct a state-by-state analysis, incorporating economic data such as unemployment figures.
The results of their analysis show that Obama will win 218 votes in the electoral college, short of the 270 that he would need to be re-elected.
While their study focuses on the electoral college, the political scientists predict Romney, the presumptive Republican candidate, will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote compared with 47.1 for Obama when considering only the two major political parties.
The economy is a main driver in elections, said Bickers. "If the economy were just average, we would be forecasting Obama to win," Bickers said. "But the economy is below average, and he is struggling."
Bickers said this election cycle has some parallels with 1980 -- a period when the economy was slumping and inflation was skyrocketing -- and voters chose Republican Ronald Reagan over Democratic incumbent President Jimmy Carter.
Bickers said Obama risks losing almost all of the states now considered swing states, including Colorado, North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida.
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The CU model has accurately predicted the winner for the last eight presidential elections. The study will be published this month in "PS: Political Science & Politics," a peer-reviewed journal of the American Political Science Association. The CU study will be among about a dozen election prediction models.
The professors provide some caveats that could affect their forecast, including the time frame the economic data used in the study was collected and close tallies in some states. The data was taken five months in advance of the Nov. 6 election, and the professors plan to update it with more current economic data next month.
"As scholars and pundits well know, each election has unique elements that could lead one or more states to behave in ways in a particular election that the model is unable to correctly predict," Berry said in a news release.

http://www.mercurynews.com/elections/ci_21382461/romney-will-win-election-state-by-state-study