Topic: Human Population Conditional Awareness | |
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Edited by
Tom4Uhere
on
Fri 02/22/19 10:40 PM
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There are only 328 million people in the United States, and we only gain about 2 million a year. The US has plenty of land and resources to continue for a very long time if we do things right. But we better get going on that boarder wall because the longer we put it off the and the worse things get, the more people that will move into our country. Back in the 1800s we relied a lot on whale oil, by the late 1800s we had almost wiped out all the whales except the ones the were really hard to get. Fortunately we discovered petroleum, and electricity wasn't far behind. Then came natural gas, nuclear, solar. Not to mention we've been using water power and wind power for hundreds of years. Power is not a problem for a very, very long time. There has been many times we have almost lost all of our crops, but we have always found ways to combat that. Our biggest problem now is all are crops are Mono crops, we only use things that we have genetically altered, if something goes wrong we could be screwed, however there are many edible species of plans, we may just have to adjust to them. If we would not have genetically altered our crops we would be having an extremely difficult time feeding everyone in the world. Our food prices are currently extreamly low due to technologies, even though people still tend to complain about it. If the population does get wiped out in the next couple hundred years it will probably be from disease, or the hole in the ozone layer creating an environment that is too hot for us to live with, or nuclear enialation or something similar that some nut case comes up with that we currently don't know about. The odds of a meteor or volcanic eruptions taking us out would be like winning the lottery because they usually only happen every hundred million years or so. In other words all you have to fear is fear its self, somethings are best left alone. Have you ever stopped and thought about how big is space? And where does it end? You will never know the answer, so just leave it be. M2 is a global community. Compared to some countries our (USA) population density is sparse. Its easy to just ignore the issue that is a global condition. Sooner or later, its gunna catch up. The issue is not just food. Its global resources and the effect of high population on the environment as a whole. You may not think rain forest deforestation affects the USA but in a global picture, it certainly does. Go drink some water from the river, any river. Drink some water that has been treated in some way. Food is a small part of the issue at hand. What significance is there for an impact that happens in a hundred million years when the problem will be way out of hand in a few decades? The issue is the 7.685 BILLION people right now and the fact that more people are being born than dying. When the rest of the world is starving and fighting for resources, how safe will the US be whether there is a wall or not? Complacency grows on you. How long will the privileged be allowed their privileges? Will it be us against the world? I'm not asking for solutions, as far as I can see, there are none. I just think we should be aware of the issue and at least try to work together for a solution. |
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Edited by
Tom4Uhere
on
Fri 02/22/19 10:44 PM
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Any 'balancing' nature does do will be far too late, and the mass extinctions and loss of cornerstone species will mean ecological collapse and a whole new state of affairs biologically, and meteorologically.
Throwing facts and education and disincentives at over populating cultures is needed. And the culture of greed and lies and hoarding must be de-valued. Society as it was before WW I, but with medical advances. Agrarian villages cooperating, not competing. |
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This could be done by cutting birth rates
Lots of people think birthrates are the possible fix. I don't see it that way. Consider this: World-wide all mating is limited to 1 child per man-woman mating. If there are 7 billion of us that is 3.5 billion men and 3.5 billion women that would have 1.75 billion children. This immediately brings the population to 8.75 billion people. At 10 billion, one child per couple means 12.5 billion in population. Even at 1 child per couple, it is a runaway population explosion. Not sure if its your math skills that sucks, or your just don't understand the concept of time. If I have one child I have replaced myself by half (it take 2 people to make a child) and if I have 2 children, that will replace me when I'm dead. The fact that generations are created in between is not relevant. In the long run it all works out, just a matter of waiting for enough people to die to stabilize it. Here in the United States many people are actually waiting longer to have children which means there will be less generations alive at any one time. Also people are trending towards having fewer children here in the United States, much of our growth is immigants. The thinking of many researchers is that 100 years of age is all the body is capable, a few live lo longer but overall they would have to come up with some really radical solutions to extend life much longer than 100. We also have people die from sickness, accidents, and other causes at a much earlier age. So while your 78 year life expectancy may sneak up a little, it will only cause a slight swing in population that would level out over time. So if on average everybody had just 2 children the population would level out over time. Clearly we are unable to force people not to have more than 2 children, but if we could then we could learn what we need to do long term to support the planet with 10 million people. |
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Actually, nature does NOT "balance" anything. That's a myth, often eagerly adopted and codified by people who want to excuse themselves to continue down a path they already know will be bad for future generations. It's actually identical to the claim that capitalist economies will "self adjust" and "balance." That is, specifically, that both nature and unregulated economies WILL react to negative behavior. Just never mindfully, and rarely in a manner that you will enjoy. There IS no officially correct "balance point" for the "natural world." There's just "the way things are, whatever that is." If humans become extinct because they cause changes to their own living space that they can't continue living with, that space will NOT naturally return to the way it was before they mucked it up. Look at small situations we already know about, where human pollution destroyed a given species or made a given location uninhabitable. No extinct species has ever "naturally" sprung back into existence, just because we stopped allowing people to kill it. It stayed extinct, and the rest of the environment "adjusted" to THAT fact, by changing even more in other ways, because that species was gone. I do understand what yer saying. I don't think I stated anything in contrast to that intent. Nature does find its own balance but sometimes that balance means extinction. Sometimes the damage done requires long time periods to recover ecologically. That long time could be 100,000 or millions of years but nature does eventually rebound from ecological change. If it didn't, the world would have stayed dead after the first ice age or global disaster. Yes, some natural species will fill the gap. Mammals filled the gap left by dinosaurs and so on. The thread intent is about how people (you and me people) are not thinking about a significant issue and prefer to think of immediate issues. Population rates are not prevalent in social consciousness. People will ignore the issue until it can no longer be ignored and then, suddenly, everyone will be all for finding a fix, but its already past the tipping point for a humane solution. All possible solutions from now forward will need to be extreme. The longer we wait to address the problem, the more extreme the solutions will have to be. The issue needs focus now, while we can still have a somewhat humane solution. I understood what you were getting at. What I was somewhat obliquely trying to point out, is that what we do about a given situation, requires accepting ALL of the consequences of our acts, and not just the INTENTIONS behind them. We do NOT, for example, have an option available to us that includes preserving everything the way that it is now. In order to limit human population expansion significantly, or even further, to forcibly reduce how many are here now, requires the end of a LOT of existing human standards of behavior, the ideas of rights, freedom, and all sorts of things. I've paid attention, while doing other historical investigations, to the MANY times that humans on this planet have tried to gain control of all of humanity, in order to try to make the future safe for whatever they had in mind as an ideal life for all. In every instance, the journey from what we were, to what we would have to become in order to find that "Eden," or "Nirvana," involved doing things that were VERY unpleasant to a VERY large number of people. That doesn't mean I personally think we should do nothing, by any stretch of the imagination. What I am intent on getting across, is that regardless of what we jointly choose, there will be "unpleasantness," especially including if we do nothing. I am convinced that population ALONE, is not the problem. Even a much smaller population than we have now, has in the past, managed to nearly destroy itself, on a number of occasions, due to fairly obviously "bad behavior." In order to do better than the previous people who attempted to solve the Problem Of Humanity, will require a FAR higher dedication to education, to self discipline, and to assiduous protection of respect for each other, than any large number of human's has yet managed. I believe it can be done, simply because there is nothing inherently stopping us. However, there is no sign anywhere in the leaders of the current world, of anyone who WANTS to find the best solution to our challenge. We only have a lot of people looking for quick fixes and short cuts. |
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some posts were pretty long so I am not sure if someone mentioned this or not...but even though China is crowded, they actually decided to limit population years ago by saying families could only have one child. Then,
in November 2013, following the Third Plenum of the 18th Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party, China announced the decision to relax the one-child policy. Under the new policy, families can have two children if one parent, rather than both parents, was an only child |
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This could be done by cutting birth rates
Lots of people think birthrates are the possible fix. I don't see it that way. Consider this: World-wide all mating is limited to 1 child per man-woman mating. If there are 7 billion of us that is 3.5 billion men and 3.5 billion women that would have 1.75 billion children. This immediately brings the population to 8.75 billion people. At 10 billion, one child per couple means 12.5 billion in population. Even at 1 child per couple, it is a runaway population explosion. Not sure if its your math skills that sucks, or your just don't understand the concept of time. If I have one child I have replaced myself by half (it take 2 people to make a child) and if I have 2 children, that will replace me when I'm dead. The fact that generations are created in between is not relevant. In the long run it all works out, just a matter of waiting for enough people to die to stabilize it. Here in the United States many people are actually waiting longer to have children which means there will be less generations alive at any one time. Also people are trending towards having fewer children here in the United States, much of our growth is immigants. The thinking of many researchers is that 100 years of age is all the body is capable, a few live lo longer but overall they would have to come up with some really radical solutions to extend life much longer than 100. We also have people die from sickness, accidents, and other causes at a much earlier age. So while your 78 year life expectancy may sneak up a little, it will only cause a slight swing in population that would level out over time. So if on average everybody had just 2 children the population would level out over time. Clearly we are unable to force people not to have more than 2 children, but if we could then we could learn what we need to do long term to support the planet with 10 million people. I suck, yes. The issue isn't with math. The real issue is that our present situation despite anyones math is a deteriorating factor in the global populations scope. Seems to me you are short-sighted in using the USA as the control group. The issue isn't national, its global. What is important is not the trend but the actual fact that globally, more people are being born than are dying and it is a constant factor. |
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Actually, nature does NOT "balance" anything. That's a myth, often eagerly adopted and codified by people who want to excuse themselves to continue down a path they already know will be bad for future generations. It's actually identical to the claim that capitalist economies will "self adjust" and "balance." That is, specifically, that both nature and unregulated economies WILL react to negative behavior. Just never mindfully, and rarely in a manner that you will enjoy. There IS no officially correct "balance point" for the "natural world." There's just "the way things are, whatever that is." If humans become extinct because they cause changes to their own living space that they can't continue living with, that space will NOT naturally return to the way it was before they mucked it up. Look at small situations we already know about, where human pollution destroyed a given species or made a given location uninhabitable. No extinct species has ever "naturally" sprung back into existence, just because we stopped allowing people to kill it. It stayed extinct, and the rest of the environment "adjusted" to THAT fact, by changing even more in other ways, because that species was gone. I do understand what yer saying. I don't think I stated anything in contrast to that intent. Nature does find its own balance but sometimes that balance means extinction. Sometimes the damage done requires long time periods to recover ecologically. That long time could be 100,000 or millions of years but nature does eventually rebound from ecological change. If it didn't, the world would have stayed dead after the first ice age or global disaster. Yes, some natural species will fill the gap. Mammals filled the gap left by dinosaurs and so on. The thread intent is about how people (you and me people) are not thinking about a significant issue and prefer to think of immediate issues. Population rates are not prevalent in social consciousness. People will ignore the issue until it can no longer be ignored and then, suddenly, everyone will be all for finding a fix, but its already past the tipping point for a humane solution. All possible solutions from now forward will need to be extreme. The longer we wait to address the problem, the more extreme the solutions will have to be. The issue needs focus now, while we can still have a somewhat humane solution. I understood what you were getting at. What I was somewhat obliquely trying to point out, is that what we do about a given situation, requires accepting ALL of the consequences of our acts, and not just the INTENTIONS behind them. We do NOT, for example, have an option available to us that includes preserving everything the way that it is now. In order to limit human population expansion significantly, or even further, to forcibly reduce how many are here now, requires the end of a LOT of existing human standards of behavior, the ideas of rights, freedom, and all sorts of things. I've paid attention, while doing other historical investigations, to the MANY times that humans on this planet have tried to gain control of all of humanity, in order to try to make the future safe for whatever they had in mind as an ideal life for all. In every instance, the journey from what we were, to what we would have to become in order to find that "Eden," or "Nirvana," involved doing things that were VERY unpleasant to a VERY large number of people. That doesn't mean I personally think we should do nothing, by any stretch of the imagination. What I am intent on getting across, is that regardless of what we jointly choose, there will be "unpleasantness," especially including if we do nothing. I am convinced that population ALONE, is not the problem. Even a much smaller population than we have now, has in the past, managed to nearly destroy itself, on a number of occasions, due to fairly obviously "bad behavior." In order to do better than the previous people who attempted to solve the Problem Of Humanity, will require a FAR higher dedication to education, to self discipline, and to assiduous protection of respect for each other, than any large number of human's has yet managed. I believe it can be done, simply because there is nothing inherently stopping us. However, there is no sign anywhere in the leaders of the current world, of anyone who WANTS to find the best solution to our challenge. We only have a lot of people looking for quick fixes and short cuts. I don't pretend to have a solution. A solution is not my intent. I am merely trying to increase awareness so more people contemplate the issue that are smarter than me that might find a solution. It doesn't really matter what happened in the past. The issue is now and promises to only get worse the longer we do nothing. Sure there will be drastic changes needing to be made by all (globally). Its not even really about that. Its to try to get the regular person to lift their head out of the sand long enough to think about the legacy we leave our grandchildren. Right now, right this very second, only drastic changes can make a difference. In two generations, those changes we might call drastic right now may no longer be feasible. Yet, we will continue to ignore the problem until it becomes so severe, nobody can ignore it. Then, it will be people saying "Why didn't we do something about it while we could?". I'm going to die long before I feel the effects. Being a grandpa, I think about the world I leave for my grabndkids and their grandkids. We ignore the facts that already there, I'm just pointing and asking others to "Look". |
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some posts were pretty long so I am not sure if someone mentioned this or not...but even though China is crowded, they actually decided to limit population years ago by saying families could only have one child. Then, in November 2013, following the Third Plenum of the 18th Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party, China announced the decision to relax the one-child policy. Under the new policy, families can have two children if one parent, rather than both parents, was an only child http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/ |
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Any 'balancing' nature does do will be far too late, and the mass extinctions and loss of cornerstone species will mean ecological collapse and a whole new state of affairs biologically, and meteorologically. Throwing facts and education and disincentives at over populating cultures is needed. And the culture of greed and lies and hoarding must be de-valued. Society as it was before WW I, but with medical advances. Agrarian villages cooperating, not competing. Lets agree, nature is not going to balance human population. We have advanced too far for that to happen, naturally. The issue isn't even the fact that people reproduce as much as it is the fact that people are not paying attention to the effects of their reproduction on a global scale. There is just way too many people alive, being born and not enough people dying. In any given time. We don't live in the past. we might try to go back to the past but that would still be ineffective to the issue at hand. There's just too many people. Here's a solution: Remove half of the population and make the birth rate slightly less than the death rate. Problem is, if it goes unmonitored that is an extinction trend. Ultimately, find a population number that is good for the species and make the birth rate equal to the death rate. If more people survive, kill more people, if more people die, birth more people but keep the numbers in check globally. |
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Lets put the human population cap at 10 billion.
At 10 billion people alive, nobody is born. All are terminated. Then a volcano erupts and takes out 200,000 people. We birth 200,000 more people and stop. Of those 200,000 some will not reach reproduction age and some will not reproduce. As people die off, more are born. It sounds fantastic science fiction but all it means is paying attention to what is happening globally. Please don't think I seriously suggest it but it might work in some twisted future. Even if people were aware of the problem and wanted to do something about it, it involves ending someones lives. The moral implications are staggering. I couldn't agree with that solution. Our grandchildren and great grandchildren are going to have some serious moral decisions to make. |
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Edited by
dust4fun
on
Sun 02/24/19 05:56 AM
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some posts were pretty long so I am not sure if someone mentioned this or not...but even though China is crowded, they actually decided to limit population years ago by saying families could only have one child. Then, in November 2013, following the Third Plenum of the 18th Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party, China announced the decision to relax the one-child policy. Under the new policy, families can have two children if one parent, rather than both parents, was an only child http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/population-by-country/ You are so right Tom we are even more screwed than we think. For the most part it is poor, lazy, uneducated people who are doing the majority of breeding even more poor, lazy, uneducated people while educated people with living wages are actually not even replacing themselves. If you look at China that had a one child per couple law which has now been changed to two child limit they are expected go into a decline in population in the near future that will hurt their economy and government. Mean while the middle east and Africa is having birth rates that are out of control. What is disturbing is Tom may have been right about nature correcting things, but the United States stepped in and interfered. If nothing had been done in Africa with things like AIDS, Ebola, and the lack of food the global population would be much better off. And if USA would have left the middle east alone the war there probably would have taken out more people, or ISIS or Alcida would have taken over and then we could have went in and wiped them off the map. India also has a population growth that is out of control, while you may say India has smart people think of how many times your call has been forwarded to a call center in India where someone pretends to have an American name, yet you can't understand them, and they can't solve the problem you are calling about (don't pretend you haven't been there!). Even here in the USA it the uneducated, lazy people living in poverty that are F'n like rabbits and having boat loads of children. So next time you say "I swear people are getting dumber, and more lazy" you are probably on to something. If that isn't bad enough then we are also legalizing weed only adding to the dumb and lazy population. Not sure why we can't get poor people to use birth control, maybe just because they are lazy? |
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Edited by
Tom4Uhere
on
Sun 02/24/19 10:28 PM
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I watched Planet Ocean today.
1:28:59 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eH1s9GCqPKo http://topdocumentaryfilms.com/planet-ocean/ Planet Ocean features both the magnificence and the exposure of Earth's oceans. The dangers that threaten the whole planet also threaten us. The documentary asserts that the greatest threat to our oceans is humanity. Ironically, that means we're the greatest threat to ourselves, as well. As opposed to the more common omniscient viewpoint and narration which allows the viewer to remain a detached observer, uniquely, Planet Ocean employs first person narration to directly connect the audience to the subject matter. Ratings: 9.09/10from 352 users. |
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