Some should not be so smug...


Pollster: Don’t believe the Dem hype

The presidential race is still too close to call and could come down to the very last weekend before voters decide if they like or distrust Barack Obama, a national pollster predicts.

“I don’t think Obama has closed the deal yet,” pollster John Zogby told the Herald yesterday.

Zogby’s latest poll, released yesterday in conjunction with C-Span and Reuters, shows Obama and John McCain in a statistical dead heat, with the Illinois Democrat up 48-45 percent.

Zogby said the race mirrors the 1980 election, when voters didn’t embrace Ronald Reagan over then-President Jimmy Carter until just days before the election.

“The Sunday before the election the dam burst,” Zogby said of the 1980 tilt. “That’s when voters determined they were comfortable with Reagan.”

Now voters are wrestling with two senators with opposite resumes - Obama, at 47, the unknown, and the established 72-year-old McCain.

Zogby said he’s still hearing from moderates and non-partisan voters - what he calls “the big middle” - who are still shopping for a candidate.

“It still can break one way or the other,” Zogby says.

The Numbers

The three-day survey polled 1,220 likely voters - about 400 people a day. Zogby will continuously poll right up until the November election.

The latest poll numbers may reflect the bump that McCain received after his running mate, Alaskan Gov. Sarah Palin sparred with Obama’s running mate, Delaware Sen. Joe Biden during the first and only vice presidential debate last week.

The poll shows that the two White House contenders have no problem attracting support from their own parties.

Obama is winning 84 percent of the Democratic Party support and McCain has 85 percent of the GOP support, but Obama has the edge among sought-after Independent voters.

He leads McCain among independents, 48 percent to 39 percent, according to the poll.

Obama also has support from a slightly higher percent of conservative voters than McCain gets from liberal voters, but the advantage is small, according to the poll.

Pollsters surveyed 1,220 likely voters and asked approximately 39 questions. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points.

It's over for McCain and he knows it.
The campaign is getting very desparate.

<------Very desperate

while the polls make it look dismal for mccain at this point, a commentator on fox news said 2 days ago that blacks are being OVER-sampled in all these polls.

could make a difference....

This thread lost validity when I read the title.

And we believe everything that Faux News says, don't we?

Zogby has been wrong

I will say this. Pre-election polling means very little. Anyone experienced in poll taking knows how to get the result they want by sampling certain ages, areas, sexes...whatever.

the tone of the McCain campaign and his quiet admission at an appearance yesterday that Obama is not a Muslim and is a good guy basically said much more to me. He must be thinking about the possibility of having to work with President Obama in the near future.

And the poster...

I think Mc2olds campaign with go the same way as his predecessors did!!

Ill be amazed if he carrys as many states as Barry Goldwater did in 1964

History does repeat itself

loony left, right wing nut jobs...when is someone going to come up with something more clever and funnier...even when it comes to insults you cant really tell the difference between right and left....