http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2012/10/mitt-romneys-very-long-odds-winning-election/58414/

"But let me save you some time: the conventional wisdom holds that there are just nine states that might go either way on Nov. 6, meaning that if the other 41 states go the way they're supposed to, there are exactly (and only) 512 possible outcomes. I've calculated the electoral vote tally for all 512 combinations and Obama wins re-election in 84.2 percent of them. "

=-=-=-=

Note that bookies like Ladbrokes for example hat the payout for
a Romney to win bet about 5 times that for an Obama to win wager.

Coincidence? I think not!

Sooo........we should take someone's word for it and just not vote because Obama will win anyway right?.....lol You really think that people are that stupid? How come the polls suggest different?

Right now it's all about momentum.

So your saying he has a chance <said in my best dumb and dumber voice>

If Ohio and Colorado go for Romney, he wins. Several other swing states, like Florida, have already shifted toward Romney.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Obama has a 74.4 chance of winning to Romneys 25.6

http://www.theatlanticwire.com/politics/2012/10/mitt-romneys-very-long-odds-winning-election/58414/

Which is the same as the OP.

I think they are. Most of them voted for hi because he is African American.

I am saying VOTE! Everyone should vote.

Mathematically the odds for a Romney victory are not good.
That is just the math. There is no accounting for momentum
or any other gaffe or analysis which definitely could shift
the election one way or the other.

The candidates are as we speak feverishly trying to swing
the contested states. Sometimes even a state or two which
is not expected to be contested turns out to go differently
than the polls suggest.

Just don't get complacent. Romney's odds are long but either
candidate can definitely win this election.

So....Everyone should vote and realize that their vote is
indeed very important!!



I just thought it was very interesting to see exactly how
this simple-minded analysis worked out to give almost exactly
the bookmaker odds and how it contrasts with the frequent
claims in the media that the race is a "toss-up". It is hardly
a "toss-up" in the sense of a coin flip....unless you only get
heads 16% of the time.

I hope noone is taking anything for granted this election

alot of people are disheartened that things havent matched their definition of 'change' and wish to get away from Obama

and alot of other people are disheartened by Romneys apparent preference for corporate america over american citizens and dont want to go back to 'republican' values,,,,


its gonna be close,,,

There is no need to vote. Stay at home and eat potato chips and watch porn.



If you were going to vote for Obama, he is likely to win anyway so why
bother going out to the polls and putting up with all that garbage...



If you were going to vote for Romney, he is likely to lose anyway so why
bother?



Embrace your inner apathy. Who cares!!



[/sarcasm]

smh,,,

ur terrible

voting early eliminates most of the 'garbage' (for those fortunate enough to live in an early voting area)

I voted early and glad to be done with it,, now just waiting for all the political spin and ads to end,,,,

To me, I think the article is trying to get you to go see your bookie and put some money down on the election. From the conservatives I've read on here, it sounds like a safe bet with a 5:1 payout.

Why don't all you tea partiers place your entire income and pension on it. Don't worry, if you lose, I'm sure the liberals will understand when you don't want food stamps or welfare.

Even the people who are pretending to support Romney know that Obama is going to be the next President. They just have to make a good show.

I heard a Romney supporter slip up on national television last night and say that... "our new president Obama..." then he said... um .. er...I mean Romney...

Who did that? Did anyone catch that blooper?

Inner apathy......Can I just say I really, really like this phrase..It carries a nice solid punch....

Please watch this ad where Obama uses kids to sing. It's sickening.
Link is at the bottom.

Pro-Obama Ad Has Children Singing About an America Where ‘Sick People Just Die’ & ‘Oil Fills the Sea’

Imagine an America
Where strip mines are fun and free
Where gays can be fixed
And sick people just die
And oil fills the sea

We don’t have to pay for freeways!
Our schools are good enough
Give us endless wars
On foreign shores
And lots of Chinese stuff

We’re the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And we’re kinda blaming you

We haven’t killed all the polar bears
But it’s not for lack of trying
The Earth is cracked
Big Bird is sacked
And the atmosphere is frying

Congress went home early
They did their best we know
You can’t cut spending
With elections pending
Unless it’s welfare dough

We’re the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And we’re kinda blaming you

Find a park that is still open
And take a breath of poison air
They foreclosed your place
To build a weapon in space
But you can write off your au pair

It’s a little awkward to tell you
But you left us holding the bag
When we look around
The place is all dumbed down
And the long term’s kind of a drag

We’re the children of the future
American through and through
But something happened to our country
And yeah, we’re blaming you

You did your best
You failed the test

Mom and Dad
We’re blaming you!



http://www.theblaze.com/stories/pro-obama-ad-has-children-singing-about-an-america-where-sick-people-just-die-oil-fills-the-sea/

You will REALLY love the "First Time" Ad then!



http://youtu.be/o6G3nwhPuR4

a pro obama ad, doesnt mean its OBAMAS responsibility

this one is actually the brainchild of a disgruntled republican and his ad company (same ones who do the 'got milk' commercials,,btw)



from the link provided

The ad is the brainchild of Jeff Goodby and Rich Silverstein, of the San Francisco-based Goodby Silverstein & Partners, for their Future Children Project. The Future Children Project states on its website, “Re-electing President Obama is a momentous decision that will require every single voter. What would the children of the future say if we let them down this November?”

According to the San Francisco Chronicle, Goodby is a registered Republican who said he has some concerns about “the direction the party is going,” while Silverstein said he was spurred by the “huge implications for the future” the presidential election will have.