Topic: US should plan 2nd fiscal stimulus -govt adviser
ThomasJB's photo
Tue 07/07/09 08:49 AM

US should plan 2nd fiscal stimulus -govt adviser
Tue Jul 7, 2009 2:32am EDT

By Vidya Ranganathan

SINGAPORE, July 7 (Reuters) - The United States should be planning for a possible second round of fiscal stimulus to further prop up the economy after the $787 billion rescue package launched in February, an adviser to President Barack Obama said.

"We should be planning on a contingency basis for a second round of stimulus," Laura D'Andrea Tyson, a member of the panel advising President Barack Obama on tackling the economic crisis. said on Tuesday.

Addressing a seminar in Singapore, Tyson said she felt the first round of stimulus aimed to prop up the economy had been slightly smaller than she would have liked and that a possible second round should be directed at infrastructure investment.

"The stimulus is performing close to expectations but not in timing," Tyson said, referring to the slow pace at which the first round of stimulus had been spent on the economy.

Tyson, who is a dean of the Haas School of Business at University of California, Berkeley and was also a White House economic adviser to former President Bill Clinton, said an additional factor affecting the stimulus was that the economy was in a far worse shape than the administration had estimated.

INFLATION NOT A CONCERN

Tyson dispelled concerns about the ballooning U.S. fiscal deficit that is estimated to hit nearly 10 percent of gross domestic product, and its possible inflationary consequences.

"The Federal Reserve is not going to allow the U.S. to inflate away its debt," she said.

Asked about the value of the dollar, Tyson said the market was wrong to be concerned about inflation in the U.S. economy, given the amount of slack in most industries.

"It is almost in no one's interest to have a sharply spiralling downward dollar," she said. The dollar ought to decline in the longer term on a trade-weighted basis but she did not anticipate a sharp and sudden decline.

Turning to the Federal Reserve's near-zero rates policy and credit easing, Tyson said inflationary expectations remained "well-grounded", giving policymakers room to pursue these expansionary policies.

She said she was also not worried about whether the Fed can exit such a policy. "The Federal Reserve has the ability to make rapid adjustments in its balance-sheet as necessary."

But Tyson said the combination of near-zero interest rates and heavy debt issuance would keep the U.S. yield curve steep. And, while the rate at which the economy was contracting had fallen, the latest jobs data showed the economy was still not stabilising.

U.S. unemployment rate hit 9.5 percent in June, the highest in nearly 26 years. (Editing by Jan Dahinten)


http://www.reuters.com/article/usDollarRpt/idUSSP37926820090707?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0

Drivinmenutz's photo
Tue 07/07/09 10:33 AM
It's somewhat amusing to hear people with little to no knowledge of economics in a capitalistic system, talk about economics.

At it's very best a stimulus is a short term solution, brining about a worse problem later. When people learn that money only represents value, and capital is the true wealth, will we ever see a long term solution.

Money is a tool to represent capital.

Increase the capital, increase the value of money.

Government jobs, even your military and police force, as valuable as those services are, they do little to boost the economy. Contrustion jobs do a lot, unless you order projects for the sake of spending money, instead of gaining use, and efficiency. These are things that we are making the mistake of focusing on.

Create and produce something useful to people. Then people purchase this product in accordance to how valuable it is to them. This is how an economy is boosted. This is also how progression comes about.

What she wants is to destroy the middle class. This advisor needs to seek more education...

ThomasJB's photo
Tue 07/07/09 10:44 AM
I'm waiting to see the magic that can make creating the necessary money to find this stimulus out thin air, not cause inflation.

Drivinmenutz's photo
Tue 07/07/09 10:53 AM

I'm waiting to see the magic that can make creating the necessary money to find this stimulus out thin air, not cause inflation.


You are not alone my friend...

TJN's photo
Tue 07/07/09 03:37 PM
They have barely touched the first stimulas. why would we need a second if they haven't even begun using the first yet? Are they admitting that the first one will eventually do nothing except further hurt our country so they want a secondnoway for what the final nail in our counrties coffin!

adj4u's photo
Tue 07/07/09 07:41 PM
no wonder this country is in such bad shape

""""or a possible second round of fiscal stimulus to further prop up the economy after the $787 billion rescue package launched in February,""""


they cant even count

that was the second stimulus package

sssshhhhhhhhhhzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

were in big trouble really big trouble

ThomasJB's photo
Tue 07/07/09 08:31 PM

no wonder this country is in such bad shape

""""or a possible second round of fiscal stimulus to further prop up the economy after the $787 billion rescue package launched in February,""""


they cant even count

that was the second stimulus package

sssshhhhhhhhhhzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

were in big trouble really big trouble



I noticed that also. noway

AdventureBegins's photo
Tue 07/07/09 08:34 PM

They have barely touched the first stimulas. why would we need a second if they haven't even begun using the first yet? Are they admitting that the first one will eventually do nothing except further hurt our country so they want a secondnoway for what the final nail in our counrties coffin!

It been touched... Most of it is now 'promised'.

Might as well have spent it.

One major drawback to suppressing the financial markets to win an election is the 'collateral damage'.

Just as in a physical bomb there is much more to the 'explosion' than necessary to engage the 'target'...

Pouring money into the existing firestorm is like trying to rebuild a burning building with fresh wood.


cabot's photo
Tue 07/07/09 08:52 PM
As a life long capitalist child and adult, I see capitalism as this, like my dad said, "Everyone wants to take the money from your wallet and put it in their wallet." Remember that and all will be well.

AdventureBegins's photo
Tue 07/07/09 08:56 PM

no wonder this country is in such bad shape

""""or a possible second round of fiscal stimulus to further prop up the economy after the $787 billion rescue package launched in February,""""


they cant even count

that was the second stimulus package

sssshhhhhhhhhhzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

were in big trouble really big trouble


They did say 'round'.

Could that mean the current set of packages are considerd a 'round'...

Just how many of these do ya think americans will stand for before we kick the current crop of politicans to the curb?