The White House Rose Garden is rarely a scene of insurrection. But if reports are to be believed, this morning at 10:30 the president will use the setting for phase one of a strategy that could end with Senate Democrats exercising the "nuclear option" to reset rules around the use of the filibuster. Simply by saying three names.
The plan goes something like this. At the event, Obama will nominate three judges to fill three vacancies on an appeals court serving Washington, D.C. (The D.C. Circuit, as it's known, has broad power to review federal regulations, making it an extremely powerful bench — and one from which four sitting Supreme Court Justices have come.) The Constitution mandates that the Senate vote on those nominees, which under normal circumstances would likely mean that they'd be approved. After all, 54 Democrats and Democrat-friendly independents is a larger number than 45 Republicans.
But these are not normal circumstances. Obama has nominated people to fill those three vacancies before, only to see the nominations blocked by a Republican filibuster. In the current Senate, a nominee needs 60 votes — enough to end any filibuster and be approved. With the Democrats losing a senator yesterday, reaching that number just became harder.

Patricia Ann Millett
Cornelia T. L. Pillard
Robert L. Wilkins

If the Senate were to approve all three nominees, the balance of the D.C. Circuit would shift. Right now, four Democratic appointees and four Republican appointees sit on what is widely believed to be the nation's second most influential court. Filling the three vacancies would make the balance seven-to-four — although there is a senior bench with six judges who hear some cases, five of whom were Republican appointees.

Republicans have a counter to the President's plan: eliminate the three vacancies or, at least, move some to other Appeals benches. It's an equally transparent push to manipulate the balance of power on the court — but one that faces a steep climb in a Senate still controlled by Democrats.
With the death of Senator Lautenberg, however, even the "nuclear option" plan looks tentative. Meaning that one likely result of the Rose Garden insurrection may be a filibuster of some or all of today's nominees. As after so many revolutions before, we could just end up back in the status quo.

After Obama nominates three people at once, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid can bring them before the whole Senate simultaneously. The hope is that, by doing so, the Republicans would be less able to justify filibusters for all three, given that it's meant to be a tool employed in rare circumstances. If the Republicans do filibuster them all, the Senate could decide to revamp established rules — which isn't subject to filibuster — making it so that certain nominees need only a majority of votes to be approved. This is known, melodramatically, as the "nuclear option," given that it upends the protocol to which the Senate ostensibly adheres.

President Barack Obama speaks in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington, Tuesday, June 4, 2013, to announced the nominations of, from left, Robert Wilkins, Cornelia Pillard, and Patricia Ann Millet, to the federal appeals court in Washington