Very Good Article

http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/2012/01/201212194348390751.html

Binyamin Netanyahu made a two-fold calculation when he ordered Ahmadi-Roshan's murder. First, the Iranians may react - or overreact - to the assassination. That would provide the US and the Israelis with the kind of flimsy political cover they require to attack. In the anarchical world of inter-state competition, few states in the Middle East would actually object to a US attack, particularly if the Iranians could be made to appear confrontational. Indeed, the Saudi Arabian leadership would like nothing better than for the US to contain Iran, a regional rival.

Second, should the Iranians react - by closing the Strait of Hormuz, for example - the subsequent damage to the global and US economies may aid in unseating the incumbent US president.

Iran is a threat to the entire world based on its support of the
killing of innocent men, women and children in the name of its Islamic
fundamentalist Constitution.

Watch the insightful documentary "Iranium" and you will have a better
appreciation of the threat Iran poses to all of us in the world.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mXRXnmsvwRQ

Tail Wagging Dog....



For decades now, Israeli leaders have injected themselves into domestic US politics. Netanyahu especially has been an active lobbyist in Congress; the New York Times calls him "singularly influential".

First.
What a short sighted analysis of a very complex situation.

and skewed to boot.

Iran is but one nation amoung many that use that water way.

Closing it would damage the nations around Iran economically and be..

in effect...

an Act of War committed upon the entire World. (all nations use oil in this day).

Second.

Way to much credit you give the man. That he can predict future actions with such accuracy.

When the players number so many.

and humans being what they are.

There are way to many variables to insure the outcome.