Topic: US employers cut 467,000 jobs in June
ThomasJB's photo
Thu 07/02/09 10:43 AM

US employers cut 467,000 jobs in June
Back into the woods, not seeing it for trees

By Timothy Prickett Morgan • Get more from this author

Posted in Financial News, 2nd July 2009 15:28 GMT


The US Department of Labor wanted to give out a little good news about the economy ahead of the July 4th holiday weekend in the States, but unfortunately that was not possible. The rate of job losses accelerated in the US in June, with 467,000 employees let go across all companies and industries excepting farming.

As El Reg reported a month ago when the May jobs report came out of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, companies in the States slashed 345,000 jobs in May, boosting the unemployment rate to 9.4 per cent. Through the magic of seasonally adjusting the numbers, slicing another 467,000 jobs in June only pushed the unemployment rate to 9.5 per cent, according to the BLS.

This strikes me as BS, and it is a pity that it is not just called the Bureau of Statistics. It is also a pity that Uncle Sam doesn't do the smart thing and count jobs and job cuts by job type and title, not by industry. You need both sets of data if you want to understand an economy.

Anyway, according to the June jobs report, which you can see here (pdf)http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf, the job losses were in just about every sector of the economy, but hit the manufacturing, construction, and professional and business services sector particularly hard. Manufacturers shed another 136,000 jobs in June, according to the BLS, and since the recession began in December 2007, over 1.9 million manufacturing jobs have been removed from the economy.

Among manufacturers, those making computer and electronic products shed 16,000 jobs (these are seasonally adjusted figures: Construction companies shed 79,000 jobs in June, and have cut 1.3 million employees since the recession began; those engaged in professional and business services (including those engaged in software development and IT consulting) cut 118,000 jobs last month in the States, and have cut 848,000 jobs since December 2007.

Taking a deeper look at the unfudged BLS data to get a sense of how IT-related sub-sectors of the US economy fared in terms of job cuts, computer and peripheral equipment makers cut 2,400 jobs in June, those making communications equipment cut 1,900 jobs, and those making semiconductors and electronic components removed 5,200 workers. Telecommunications companies cut 5,700 employees last month, but data processing, hosting, and related services firms held steady at 256,300 employees.

Companies engaged in computer systems design and related services actually saw employment rise by 1,600 people to just over 1.45 million employees in the raw data, but in the seasonally adjusted data the BLS reckons that 2,700 jobs were cut. This is why you always look at the raw data.

While it makes sense to not over-emphasize job cuts that are due to seasonal cycles and to do some fudging, I have a hard time believing that there is a seasonal uptick in the late spring and early summer for IT pros that you need to knock off the numbers. The elimination of 4,300 jobs in the seasonally adjusted figures put out by the BLS for computer nerds is perplexing. ®

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/07/02/us_jobs_report_0609/


"companies in the States slashed 345,000 jobs in May, boosting the unemployment rate to 9.4 per cent. . . slicing another 467,000 jobs in June only pushed the unemployment rate to 9.5 per cent" WTF Did Obamanation hire W to do the BLS math?

no photo
Thu 07/02/09 10:57 AM
And yet "they" say things are getting better. I'd like to know how "they" figure that out ohwell

ThomasJB's photo
Thu 07/02/09 11:34 AM
"They" need to get their heads out of their a55es.

Giocamo's photo
Thu 07/02/09 11:49 AM
how's that hope and change workin' for ya'...:smile:

Giocamo's photo
Thu 07/02/09 08:23 PM
Poll: Obama slipping further on economyposted at 1:35 pm on July 2, 2009 by Ed Morrissey
Send to a Friend | Share on Facebook | printer-friendly Rasmussen’s new poll, taken before the release of June’s unemployment numbers, shows significant slippage for Barack Obama on the economy, his central issue. Only 42% of American voters give him excellent or good marks on handling the economy, the lowest ratings he has yet received. His personal approval rate has fallen to 53%, and the “passion index” has dropped to -2:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 33% of the nation’s voters now Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Thirty-five percent (35%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -2. This is the third straight day the Approval Index has been below zero (see trends).
A Rasmussen video report notes that 42% now give the President good or excellent marks for handling the economy . That’s his lowest rating to date …
Overall, 53% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President’s performance so far. Forty-six percent (46%) disapprove.
Obama has hit a new high among those rating him fair or poor on the economy at 56%. Just a week ago, 47% approved of his economic policies, as opposed to 50% disapproval, a margin of 3% — a statistical dead heat. Obama had been seen more favorable than not on the economy as late as the second week of May, when he held a 51%-48% advantage.
The demographics of his decline portend more bad news for Obama and his Democratic allies in Congress. Only the youngest voters support him on fiscal policy, and only barely, 52%-46%. Every other age demographic above 30 years of age has majorities now showing disapproval. Independents have begun to run away in massive numbers; they now oppose him 75%-23%, a huge break away from Obama and a sign that his supposed moderate stances have been exposed as shams. Every income level except the lowest also has majorities disapproving of his handling of the economy. Voters outside the “political class” oppose Obama 65%-33%.
Obama doesn’t fare well on national security, either. Rasmussen reports that Obama only has 44% approval on these issues, and 55% opposing him. Majorities of both women and men view him disfavorably. Every income level has majorities opposed to Obama, and independents disapprove 68%-31%. Obama only wins within the $60K-$75K income level; even his base of support among the lowest income earners narrowly reject Obama’s national-security policies, 52%-47%.
Obama isn’t just coming back to Earth in the polling. He’s losing independents and demonstrating his radical bent on policy, and more and more Americans have begun to see it.


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